Lite Forecasting Guide (No Big Movies)


Solar Disk Observations Section

Latest AIA Observations

Below shows the Latest HMI-B image (Top Image), Latest AIA 304Å image (Middle Image), and latest AIA 193Å image (Bottom Image). Data courtesy of the SDO/AIA/HMI mission teams, NASA.

HMIB


AIA_304


AIA_193

CMEs Section

CACTUS

Below shows the latest CME detections, courtesy of the CACTus CME catalog, generated and maintained by the SIDC at the Royal Observatory of Belgium.

Cactus detections

Flare Observations Section

GOES 3 Day Flux

Below shows the latest GOES x-ray flux measurments, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

Goes 3-day Plot

Latest GOES Flare Data

Below shows the latest GOES x-ray flare detections, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

Created: 2020 Jul 09 1022 UT
Date: 2020 07 09
#Event Begin Max End Obs Q Type Loc/Frq Particulars Reg#
NO EVENT REPORTS.

Proton Observations Section

GOES Proton Flux

Below shows the latest GOES Proton flux measurments, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

3 Day Proton flux

F10.7 - Radio Indexes Section

DRAO Flux

Below shows the latest Solar Radio Flux Report courtesy of DRAO, Penticton.

Observed Flux Density67.7
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U.70.0

The Solar Wind Conditions Section

ACE 24 hr Data

Below shows the latest ACE space weather conditions courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

24 hour ACE data

DSCOVR data

Below shows the latest DSCOVR space weather conditions courtesy of SWPC/NOAA and the latest GFZ Postdam Kp measurement. The data is processed by the University of Graz.

Latest DSCOVR data

ENLIL Simulation

Below shows the latest simulation from ENLIL courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Latest ENLIL Simulation

The Geomagnetic Conditions Section

NOAA kp Values

Below shows the latest Planetary K index courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Latest NOAA kp Values

Forecast Center Section

Solar Activity Monitor

Below shows the latest solar activity courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Solar X-rays : Status
Geomagnetic Field : Status

Latest SIDC Forecast

Below shows the latest SIDC Forecast.

SIDC URSIGRAM 00708
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 08 Jul 2020, 1230UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 08 Jul 2020 until 10 Jul 2020)
SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Jul 2020 10CM FLUX: 068 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Jul 2020 10CM FLUX: 068 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Jul 2020 10CM FLUX: 068 / AP: 006
---
COMMENT: Solar activity was at very low levels and is expected to remain
so. The visible solar disk returned to spotlessness. A patchy positive
polarity coronal hole (CH) is transiting the central meridian.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux and the greater than 2 MeV electron
flux were at nominal levels during the last 24 hours and are expected to
remain so.
No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available
coronagraphic imagery.
Solar wind speed continued its gradual decline from about 430 km/s to its
current values near 370 km/s (DSCOVR). Bz varied between -2 and +3 nT. The
direction of the interplanetary magnetic field (phi angle) was
predominantly directed away from the Sun (positive sector).
Geomagnetic activity was at quiet levels, with an unsettled interval
(12-15UT) recorded at Dourbes. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be
mostly quiet, with a chance on an unsettled interval in particular on 9
July if a glancing blow from the 5 July CME would affect the earth
environment.
---
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
SOLAR INDICES FOR 07 Jul 2020
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 025
10CM SOLAR FLUX : 068
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 006
AK WINGST : 004
ESTIMATED AP : 003
ESTIMATED ISN : 010, BASED ON 32 STATIONS.
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
BT

Latest SWPC Forecast

Below shows the latest SWPC Forecast.

---
Solar Activity
---
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was very low. There were no active regions. No
Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.
---
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels 09-11 Jul.
---
Energetic Particles
---
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was normal to moderate and the
greater than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels.
---
.Forecast...
Both the greater than 2 MeV electron and 10 MeV proton fluxes are
expected to remain below event thresholds over 09-11 Jul.
---
Solar Wind
---
.24 hr Summary...
The solar wind environment was generally at background levels. Total
field was less than 5 nT, and Bz was relatively flat. Wind speed leveled
off around 350 km/s after starting the day closer to 400 km/s. Phi was
positive.
---
.Forecast...
Minor enhancements are possible 09 Jul with flanking influences from the
05 Jul CME.
---
Geospace
---
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
---
.Forecast...
Unsettled periods are possible on 09 Jul. Otherwise, quiet levels are
anticipated.

Future Observations Section

Stonyhurst Heliographic image

Below shows the latest Stonyhurst Heliographic image, composed of STEREO EUVI observations. Data courtesy of the STEREO/SECCHI mission teams, NASA/GSFC.

Stonyhurst Image

Links Section

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