Lite Forecasting Guide (No Big Movies)


Solar Disk Observations Section

Latest AIA Observations

Below shows the Latest HMI-B image (Top Image), Latest AIA 304Å image (Middle Image), and latest AIA 193Å image (Bottom Image). Data courtesy of the SDO/AIA/HMI mission teams, NASA.

HMIB


AIA_304


AIA_193

CMEs Section

CACTUS

Below shows the latest CME detections, courtesy of the CACTus CME catalog, generated and maintained by the SIDC at the Royal Observatory of Belgium.

Cactus detections

Flare Observations Section

GOES 3 Day Flux

Below shows the latest GOES x-ray flux measurments, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

Goes 3-day Plot

Latest GOES Flare Data

Below shows the latest GOES x-ray flare detections, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

Created: 2024 Mar 29 1057 UT
Date: 2024 03 29
#Event Begin Max End Obs Q Type Loc/Frq Particulars Reg#
9430 0000 //// 0004 PAL C RSP 025-149 VI/2
9440 0047 0054 0102 G16 5 XRA 1-8A C4.6 3.5E-03 3615
9440 0052 //// 0055 PAL C RSP 025-180 V/3
9450 0148 0206 0217 G16 5 XRA 1-8A C9.4 1.4E-02 3615
9460 0217 0230 0242 G16 5 XRA 1-8A M3.2 3.4E-02 3615
9460 + 0218 //// 0222 LEA C RSP 025-180 III/3 3615
9460 + 0218 0219 0221 LEA G RBR 4995 200 3615
9460 + 0218 0218 0219 LEA G RBR 8800 160 3615
9460 0219 0222 0250 LEA 3 FLA S15W63 SF 3615
9450 0223 //// 0715 LEA C RSP 076-180 CTM/1 3615
9460 0225 0225 0226 PAL G RBR 245 750 3615
9470 + 0306 //// 0307 LEA C RSP 025-180 III/1
9480 + 0340 //// 0347 LEA C RSP 025-180 III/2
9490 0437 0446 0454 G18 5 XRA 1-8A C3.1 2.9E-03 3615
9500 0500 //// 0500 LEA C RSP 025-160 III/1
9510 0556 0556 0601 SVI 3 FLA S15W62 SF 3615
9520 0607 U0630 A0703 SVI 3 FLA S15W62 SF 3615
9520 0627 //// 0627 LEA C RSP 025-114 III/1 3615
9530 + 0725 0731 0737 G16 5 XRA 1-8A C3.4 2.4E-03 3615
9530 0726 U0726 A0748 SVI 3 FLA S14W64 SF 3615
9540 0755 0758 0801 SVI 3 FLA S12W69 SF 3615
9550 0811 U0811 A0820 SVI 3 FLA S15W63 SF 3615
9560 0902 U0907 A0918 SVI 3 FLA S13W69 SF ERU 3615

Proton Observations Section

GOES Proton Flux

Below shows the latest GOES Proton flux measurments, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

3 Day Proton flux

F10.7 - Radio Indexes Section

DRAO Flux

Below shows the latest Solar Radio Flux Report courtesy of DRAO, Penticton.

Observed Flux Density171.0
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U.170.4

The Solar Wind Conditions Section

ACE 24 hr Data

Below shows the latest ACE space weather conditions courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

24 hour ACE data

DSCOVR data

Below shows the latest DSCOVR space weather conditions courtesy of SWPC/NOAA and the latest GFZ Postdam Kp measurement. The data is processed by the University of Graz.

Latest DSCOVR data

ENLIL Simulation

Below shows the latest simulation from ENLIL courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Latest ENLIL Simulation

The Geomagnetic Conditions Section

NOAA kp Values

Below shows the latest Planetary K index courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Latest NOAA kp Values

Forecast Center Section

Solar Activity Monitor

Below shows the latest solar activity courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Solar X-rays : Status
Geomagnetic Field : Status

Latest SIDC Forecast

Below shows the latest SIDC Forecast.


Latest SWPC Forecast

Below shows the latest SWPC Forecast.

---
Solar Activity
---
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity reached high levels. Region 3615 (S13W69,
Fkc/beta-gamma-delta) produced the strongest events of the period, an
X1.1/3b flare (R3 - Strong) at 28/2101 UTC and two impulsive M-class
flares; an M7.1/1n flare (R2-Moderate) at 28/0629 UTC and an M6.1 flare
(R2) at 28/1556 UTC. The region continued to develop and added area to
its trailer spots while maintaining multiple deltas in the intermediate
and trailer portion of the group. The remaining numbered regions were
mostly stable or in decay.
GOES-16 SUVI 304 angstroms imagery suggests that a C8.4 flare at 28/0943
UTC from Region 3615 did result in ejecta. Subsequent SOHO/LASCO C2
imagery contained a faint and narrow ejecta that is not suspected to be
Earth-directed. With the X1.1 event at 28/2101 UTC, SOHO/LASCO imagery
indicated slow-moving ejecta off the SW limb, first visible at 28/2124
UTC. Analysis is ongoing for any Earth-directed component. No other
potentially Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph
imagery.
---
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to continue at moderate to high levels
(R1-R2/Minor-Moderate), with a chance for an X-class flares (R3/Strong),
over 29-30 Mar primarily due to the flare potential of Region 3615.
As Region 3615 rotates beyond the western limb, R1 (Minor) or greater
events are no longer likely.
---
Energetic Particles
---
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was near background levels. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels.
---
.Forecast...
A slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms will persist
through 30 Mar primarily due to the potential and location of AR 3615.
As AR 3615 rotates off of the visible disk after 30 Mar, S1 or greater
radiation storms will no longer be likely. There is a chance for the
greater than 2 MeV electron flux to reach high levels beginning on 30
Mar.
---
Solar Wind
---
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters returned to nominal levels. Total magnetic field
strength was below 5 nT. Solar wind speeds ended the period near ~400
km/s. Phi angle was predominantly negative.
---
.Forecast...
Solar wind conditions may become slightly elevated by late 29 Mar
under weak, negative polarity CH HSS influences, which may continue
through 30 Mar. A possible weak enhancement from the periphery of a CME
that left the Sun on 26 Mar is possible over 31 Mar.
---
Geospace
---
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to isolated unsettled levels.
---
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is likely to be at mostly quiet levels, with
potential isolated periods of unsettled conditions, over the next three
days.

Future Observations Section

Stonyhurst Heliographic image

Below shows the latest Stonyhurst Heliographic image, composed of STEREO EUVI observations. Data courtesy of the STEREO/SECCHI mission teams, NASA/GSFC.

Stonyhurst Image

Links Section

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