Lite Forecasting Guide (No Big Movies)


Solar Disk Observations Section

Latest AIA Observations

Below shows the Latest HMI-B image (Top Image), Latest AIA 304Å image (Middle Image), and latest AIA 193Å image (Bottom Image). Data courtesy of the SDO/AIA/HMI mission teams, NASA.

HMIB


AIA_304


AIA_193

CMEs Section

CACTUS

Below shows the latest CME detections, courtesy of the CACTus CME catalog, generated and maintained by the SIDC at the Royal Observatory of Belgium.

Cactus detections

Flare Observations Section

GOES 3 Day Flux

Below shows the latest GOES x-ray flux measurments, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

Goes 3-day Plot

Latest GOES Flare Data

Below shows the latest GOES x-ray flare detections, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

Created: 2020 Sep 18 1257 UT
Date: 2020 09 18
#Event Begin Max End Obs Q Type Loc/Frq Particulars Reg#
NO EVENT REPORTS.

Proton Observations Section

GOES Proton Flux

Below shows the latest GOES Proton flux measurments, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

3 Day Proton flux

F10.7 - Radio Indexes Section

DRAO Flux

Below shows the latest Solar Radio Flux Report courtesy of DRAO, Penticton.

Observed Flux Density69.5
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U.70.1

The Solar Wind Conditions Section

ACE 24 hr Data

Below shows the latest ACE space weather conditions courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

24 hour ACE data

DSCOVR data

Below shows the latest DSCOVR space weather conditions courtesy of SWPC/NOAA and the latest GFZ Postdam Kp measurement. The data is processed by the University of Graz.

Latest DSCOVR data

ENLIL Simulation

Below shows the latest simulation from ENLIL courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Latest ENLIL Simulation

The Geomagnetic Conditions Section

NOAA kp Values

Below shows the latest Planetary K index courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Latest NOAA kp Values

Forecast Center Section

Solar Activity Monitor

Below shows the latest solar activity courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Solar X-rays : Status
Geomagnetic Field : Status

Latest SIDC Forecast

Below shows the latest SIDC Forecast.

SIDC URSIGRAM 00918
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 18 Sep 2020, 1230UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 18 Sep 2020 until 20 Sep 2020)
SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Sep 2020 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Sep 2020 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Sep 2020 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 004
---
COMMENT: The Sun is spotless and no flares were observed in the past 24
hours. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at only
1%.
No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available
coronagraphic imagery.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24
hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at nominal levels in the past 24
hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.
Solar wind speed near Earth as registered by DSCOVR varied between about
285 and 320 km/s in the past 24 hours. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field
(IMF) was predominantly oriented away from the Sun and its magnitude varied
between about 1 and 4 nT. Bz was never below -5 nT. Quiet solar wind
conditions are expected in the next 24 hours.
Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 0 and 2; NOAA Kp between 0
and 1) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic
levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on September 18, 19 and 20.
---
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 25 STATIONS.
SOLAR INDICES FOR 17 Sep 2020
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX : 070
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 007
AK WINGST : 002
ESTIMATED AP : 002
ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 30 STATIONS.
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
BT

Latest SWPC Forecast

Below shows the latest SWPC Forecast.

---
Solar Activity
---
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was very low. The solar disk was spotless. No
Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
---
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be very low on 18-20 Sep.
---
Energetic Particles
---
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels while the
greater than 10 MeV proton flux continued at background values.
---
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach moderate
levels while the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist
at background levels on 18-20 Sep.
---
Solar Wind
---
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters reflected an ambient environment throughout the
period. Total magnetic field strength was at or below 4 nT while the Bz
component varied between +2 to -3 nT. Solar wind speeds averaged about
300 km/s. The phi angle was in a predominately positive solar sector.
---
.Forecast...
The solar wind environment is expected to persist at background levels
throughout the forecast period (18-20 Sep).
---
Geospace
---
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet under an ambient solar wind regime.
---
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at mostly quiet levels
throughout the forecast period (18-20 Sep).

Future Observations Section

Stonyhurst Heliographic image

Below shows the latest Stonyhurst Heliographic image, composed of STEREO EUVI observations. Data courtesy of the STEREO/SECCHI mission teams, NASA/GSFC.

Stonyhurst Image

Links Section

Viewers Links


Regions Links


Flare Links


Energetic Particle Links


Radio Links


CME Links


Solar Wind Links


Geomagnetism Links


Forecaster Center Links


Other Links